Tuesday, October 7, 2008

No Formula for Playoff Success

Everybody knows that teams that succeed in the playoffs play small ball, have post season experience, and are built around pitching and defense. Whoopsy!

All of the conventional wisdom about postseason success is being thrown out of the window in 2008. The Cubs, with their superior pitching staff and a better defensive personnel, were swept by the Dodgers. The small ball playing Angels were knocked off by the patient and powerful Red Sox. The inexperienced Rays took out the veteran Chi Sox.

The fact is that luck is the biggest factor in determining which of two relatively equal teams wins a short series. It makes for boring analysis, but it's true.

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